Number of people classified as fishers grows 32% in five years
According to government figures released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in February, the fisheries sector in Cambodia remained the fourth-largest employer and also the fourth-biggest contributor to gross domestic product (GDP) in 2007. the only sectors to employ more people or generate greater economic output were agriculture (crops, livestock and poultry), trade and manufacturing. Fisheries employed 385,000 people in 2007, up 2% from a year earlier and accounting for almost 5% of the Cambodian workforce (see Table 1 below). That compares with about 4% of the workforce in 2002 when fisheries employed only 291,000 people, marking an increase of 32% over five years (by comparison, the number of farmers growing crops and raising livestock or poultry rose by less than 4% over the same period).
Since they reflect the number of people who see themselves as primarily engaged in fisheries, the employment figures possibly indicate increased pressure on Cambodia's fish resources.
Fisheries meanwhile contributed more than KHR 2.4 trillion ($600 million) to GDP in 2007, almost 7% of the country's total output of goods and services. That amounted to more than half the value of tourism receipts collected during the year and was also more than half the output from textiles, apparel and footwear which together account for most manufacturing. The report also noted that fish exports climbed almost 17% from a year earlier to $105 million in 2007 (see Table 2 on page 35), equivalent to five times the export value of logs and sawn timber. The overall volume of fish and shrimp production grew 7% to 562,000 tonnes in the same period, amounting to five times the volume of soybeans produced. Crocodile production was, however, down 20% at 110,000 heads. That compares to about 800,000 heads of buffalo in 2007.
Number employed | % of workforce | output US$ millions | % of GDP | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Agriculture¹ | 4,224,000 | 50.6 | 1,699 | 19.9 |
Trade | 1,196,000 | 14.3 | 762 | 8.9 |
Manufacturing | 944,000 | 11.3 | 1,481 | 17.3 |
Fisheries | 385,000 | 4.6 | 601 | 6.9 |
Construction | 299,000 | 3.6 | 570 | 6.7 |
Transport and Communications | 228,000 | 2.7 | 591 | 6.9 |
Public Administration² | 185,000 | 2.2 | 168 | 1.9 |
Education | 128,000 | 1.5 | NA³ | NA³ |
Social Services4 | 123,000 | 1.5 | NA³ | NA³ |
Hotels and Restaurants | 86,000 | 1.0 | 370 | 4.3 |
2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fresh fish and shrimp (thousands of tonnes) |
425 | 394 | 330 | 428 | 524 | 562 |
Crocodiles (thousands of heads) |
51 | 78 | 75 | 120 | 138 | 110 |
Fisheries output (billions of riel at current prices) |
1,704 | 1,721 | 1,754 | 1,892 | 2,160 | 2,435 |
Fish exports (millions of dollars) |
73 | 76 | 69 | 76 | 90 | 105 |
Numbers employed (thousands) |
291 | 323 | 360 | 400 | 376 | 385 |
Share of Workforce (%) |
4.2 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 4.6 |
Industry faces foreign competition at home and protectionism from abroad
Thailand's National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB) says it expects fisheries production to slow in 2009 as free-trade agreements with China and ASEAN result in a "massive flow" of cheap fish products into the domestic market. However, shrimp production is expected to remain stable due to market uncertainties and increased prices.
In a statement released in February, the board said the main risk factors for fish exports this year were the global economic downturn and protectionist policies among trading partners, especially antidumping measures, apparently a reference to America's anti-dumping duties on shrimp (see Catch and Culture, Vol 11, No 11). Thai fisheries production came to to THB 104 billion ($3 billion) in 2008, up fractionally from 2007 and amounting to 1.1% of gross domestic product (GDP)
Has it peaked?
Thai Fisheries Output, 1993-2008
Year | Blns of baht |
---|---|
1993 | 67 |
1994 | 76 |
1995 | 84 |
1996 | 88 |
1997 | 95 |
1998 | 108 |
1999 | 104 |
2000 | 118 |
2001 | 111 |
2002 | 108 |
2003 | 109 |
2004 | 107 |
2005 | 104 |
2006 | 105 |
2007 | 106 |
2008 | 104 |
2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paddy rice | 425 | 394 | 330 | 428 | 524 | 562 |
Fisheries | 10.2 | 9.3 | 8.2 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 6.9 |
Non-Rice Crops | 51 | 78 | 75 | 120 | 138 | 110 |
Livestock and Poultry | 1,704 | 1,721 | 1,754 | 1,892 | 2,160 | 2,435 |
Forestry and Logging | 73 | 76 | 69 | 76 | 90 | 105 |
Importance of fisheries expected to increase
During the first half of of the decade, fisheries production
exceeded rice output in terms of value (see Table 3 above and
Catch
and Culture,
Vol 9, No 1). But following a poor rice harvest in 2004
and a sharp rebound in yields the following year, fisheries
production has lagged rice production since 2005. At the same
time, the contribution of fisheries to the economy has been
dwarfed by double-digit GDP growth, especially in the garment,
tourism and construction sectors. The relative importance of
fisheries to Cambodia is, however, expected to increase as the
overall economy deteriorates in 2009.
In a separate statement in March, the IMF said Cambodia's economy was expected to shrink 0.5% this year as it becomes increasingly affected by the global economic contraction and financial crisis. The revised GDP projection reversed an earlier forecast for 4.8 % growth this year, down from an estimated 6.5% in 2008. The statement noted that garment exports were under pressure while growth in tourist arrivals had turned negative. At the same time, construction activity and foreign investment were slowing rapidly. And while agriculture performed better than anticipated in 2008, "the fall in global agricultural prices may limit further gains this year." The IMF and Cambodian authorities agreed that the projected decline in economic activity warranted a larger stimulus beyond that envisaged in the government's budget for 2009. Such a stimulus could raise the budget deficit to 4.75% of GDP without jeopardising recent fiscal gains or increasing external vulnerability (authorities had proposed a budget deficit of 4.25% of GDP in the preliminary budget for 2009, up from an estimated 1.75% in 2008). The IMF recommended that most of the additional stimulus should come from higher spending focussed on pro-poor social outlays and safety nets as well as "high-quality infrastructure projects that would strengthen competitiveness."
Further reading
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2009/cr0948.pdf
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2009/cr0947.pdf
http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2009/pr0967.htm