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Fisheries Research and Development in the Mekong Region
Volume 15, No.1, May 2009

Fisheries still among top employers and drivers
of Cambodian economy

Number of people classified as fishers grows 32% in five years

According to government figures released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in February, the fisheries sector in Cambodia remained the fourth-largest employer and also the fourth-biggest contributor to gross domestic product (GDP) in 2007. the only sectors to employ more people or generate greater economic output were agriculture (crops, livestock and poultry), trade and manufacturing. Fisheries employed 385,000 people in 2007, up 2% from a year earlier and accounting for almost 5% of the Cambodian workforce (see Table 1 below). That compares with about 4% of the workforce in 2002 when fisheries employed only 291,000 people, marking an increase of 32% over five years (by comparison, the number of farmers growing crops and raising livestock or poultry rose by less than 4% over the same period).

Since they reflect the number of people who see themselves as primarily engaged in fisheries, the employment figures possibly indicate increased pressure on Cambodia's fish resources.

Fisheries meanwhile contributed more than KHR 2.4 trillion ($600 million) to GDP in 2007, almost 7% of the country's total output of goods and services. That amounted to more than half the value of tourism receipts collected during the year and was also more than half the output from textiles, apparel and footwear which together account for most manufacturing. The report also noted that fish exports climbed almost 17% from a year earlier to $105 million in 2007 (see Table 2 on page 35), equivalent to five times the export value of logs and sawn timber. The overall volume of fish and shrimp production grew 7% to 562,000 tonnes in the same period, amounting to five times the volume of soybeans produced. Crocodile production was, however, down 20% at 110,000 heads. That compares to about 800,000 heads of buffalo in 2007.

 

Table 1. Top Ten Employers by Sector, 2007

Sectoral employment and output at current prices
  Number employed % of workforce output US$ millions % of GDP
Agriculture¹ 4,224,000 50.6 1,699 19.9
Trade 1,196,000 14.3 762 8.9
Manufacturing 944,000 11.3 1,481 17.3
Fisheries 385,000 4.6 601 6.9
Construction 299,000 3.6 570 6.7
Transport and Communications 228,000 2.7 591 6.9
Public Administration² 185,000 2.2 168 1.9
Education 128,000 1.5 NA³ NA³
Social Services4 123,000 1.5 NA³ NA³
Hotels and Restaurants 86,000 1.0 370 4.3

¹crops, livestock and poultry ²including defence ³disaggregated data not available 4excluding heath and social work
Source: IMF

Table 2. Fisheries Production, Exports and Employment, 2002-07

Volumes, Values and Employment
  2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Fresh fish and shrimp
(thousands of tonnes)
425 394 330 428 524 562
Crocodiles
(thousands of heads)
51 78 75 120 138 110
Fisheries output
(billions of riel at current prices)
1,704 1,721 1,754 1,892 2,160 2,435
Fish exports
(millions of dollars)
73 76 69 76 90 105
Numbers employed
(thousands)
291 323 360 400 376 385
Share of Workforce
(%)
4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 5.1 4.6

Source: IMF

 

Thai fisheries production seen slowing in 2009

Industry faces foreign competition at home and protectionism from abroad

 

Thailand's National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB) says it expects fisheries production to slow in 2009 as free-trade agreements with China and ASEAN result in a "massive flow" of cheap fish products into the domestic market. However, shrimp production is expected to remain stable due to market uncertainties and increased prices.

In a statement released in February, the board said the main risk factors for fish exports this year were the global economic downturn and protectionist policies among trading partners, especially antidumping measures, apparently a reference to America's anti-dumping duties on shrimp (see Catch and Culture, Vol 11, No 11). Thai fisheries production came to to THB 104 billion ($3 billion) in 2008, up fractionally from 2007 and amounting to 1.1% of gross domestic product (GDP)

Has it peaked?
Thai Fisheries Output, 1993-2008

Year Blns of baht
1993 67
1994 76
1995 84
1996 88
1997 95
1998 108
1999 104
2000 118
2001 111
2002 108
2003 109
2004 107
2005 104
2006 105
2007 106
2008 104

Source: NESDB

 

 

Table 3. Agricultural Production, 2002-07

Contributions to GDP at current prices (%)
  2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Paddy rice 425 394 330 428 524 562
Fisheries 10.2 9.3 8.2 7.3 7.2 6.9
Non-Rice Crops 51 78 75 120 138 110
Livestock and Poultry 1,704 1,721 1,754 1,892 2,160 2,435
Forestry and Logging 73 76 69 76 90 105

Source: IMF

Importance of fisheries expected to increase
During the first half of of the decade, fisheries production exceeded rice output in terms of value (see Table 3 above and Catch and Culture, Vol 9, No 1). But following a poor rice harvest in 2004 and a sharp rebound in yields the following year, fisheries production has lagged rice production since 2005. At the same time, the contribution of fisheries to the economy has been dwarfed by double-digit GDP growth, especially in the garment, tourism and construction sectors. The relative importance of fisheries to Cambodia is, however, expected to increase as the overall economy deteriorates in 2009.


River barrages with bagnets (yor) are common on the Tonle Sap
Illust ration: Arijan Jansonius

In a separate statement in March, the IMF said Cambodia's economy was expected to shrink 0.5% this year as it becomes increasingly affected by the global economic contraction and financial crisis. The revised GDP projection reversed an earlier forecast for 4.8 % growth this year, down from an estimated 6.5% in 2008. The statement noted that garment exports were under pressure while growth in tourist arrivals had turned negative. At the same time, construction activity and foreign investment were slowing rapidly. And while agriculture performed better than anticipated in 2008, "the fall in global agricultural prices may limit further gains this year." The IMF and Cambodian authorities agreed that the projected decline in economic activity warranted a larger stimulus beyond that envisaged in the government's budget for 2009. Such a stimulus could raise the budget deficit to 4.75% of GDP without jeopardising recent fiscal gains or increasing external vulnerability (authorities had proposed a budget deficit of 4.25% of GDP in the preliminary budget for 2009, up from an estimated 1.75% in 2008). The IMF recommended that most of the additional stimulus should come from higher spending focussed on pro-poor social outlays and safety nets as well as "high-quality infrastructure projects that would strengthen competitiveness."

Further reading
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2009/cr0948.pdf
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2009/cr0947.pdf
http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2009/pr0967.htm

 

 


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