A series of mathematical models under preparation by the CC WLF for use in future planning will use climate change as the initial driving force and process the resulting information to predict various scenarios for future changes in sea level.

A series of mathematical models under preparation by the CC WLF for use in future planning will use climate change as the initial driving force and process the resulting information to predict various scenarios for future changes in sea level.

Need for more work:

There are a number of areas in which further work is required to improve the water balance model, and to help develop mitigation strategies. The areas in which further work is required include:

• Sea evaporation estimation.
• Volga river flows.
• Improved elevation-area classification for the sea and areas at flood risk.
• Improved elevation-area classification for the KBG and SMKK.
• Regulation studies using the KBG and SMKK.
• Future climate and scenario building.
• Creation of a homogenised rainfall data-base.
• Hydrological and system simulation modelling of catchment area.
• Flood alleviation studies.

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